It's no secret that Championship Game Weekend in the NFL will feature strong defenses.
Three of the top-10 defenses in the NFL remain in the playoffs. So it's no wonder that oddsmakers are predicting low-scoring games in the AFC and NFC championship games.
Are they right? Here's my over/under predictions for Sunday's championship games, using totals provided by SBG Global.
Jacksonville at New England
It's not because of Jacksonville's dynamic offense that this number is the highest of the two games to be played Sunday.
New England's defense may rank 28th in the NFL in yards per play allowed, but offensively, the Patriots are fourth in the NFL in yards per play.
So oddsmakers are siding with New England's offense to move the ball against Jacksonville's defense, which was bad in last week's divisional game.
This game is all about whether you believe Jacksonville can score. The Jaguars are averaging just 4.7 yards per play in their last three games. And while New England's defense has been cringe-worthy at times this season, it's really not that bad.
The Patriots are giving up just 4.5 yards per play in their last three games. That defensive prowess has been on display for much of the second half of the season.
I'm buying the Patriots to win by double-digits, and I don't expect the Jaguars to score enough to put this game over the point totals. I'm looking at a close game at halftime, with the Patriots lengthening that lead later. This game feels like a 30-13 game, which would put this number at the under. — Go Under
Minnesota at Philadelphia
If you've seen anything I've written this week about this game, you know my thoughts about how many points will be scored in this contest.
Oddsmakers are crafty, though, with the number being below 40. They know just as much as I do that both defenses are dynamic in the red zone.
The Vikings and Eagles are ranked third and fifth respectively in red zone touchdowns allowed. Not coincidently, the Patriots and Jaguars also occupy spots in the top-10 in that category.
If there are more than two touchdowns combined scored in this game, I would be shocked.
So even though this number is tempting, the smart play is to lean heavily on these defenses. — Go Under
Scott Levine is the Associate Editor for the Clinton Herald. During his free time, he blogs about fantasy sports and handicaps games. Check out more at Against The Chalk.
Scott Levine can be reached at email@example.com or on Twitter @ScottLevineCH