Betting favorites this year in the NFL have been a bad venture. The overreacting public is having a hard time handicapping this year based on underdogs keeping games close, and winning straight up at times.
As you can tell, I'm having a much more difficult time with favorites than underdogs. And this week is a potential trap week based on big spreads. Here's the week 6 NFL favorites that will cover the spread.
Favorites: 5-10 ATS
Overall: 13-16-1 ATS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2) at Arizona Cardinals
This is a sneaky play. Tampa Bay's defense has been terrible during the beginning of the season. However, much of that is due to injuries having a major effect, with four players being out of the potential starting lineup.
All four of those players returned to practice this week. So while Tampa Bay's defense has been terrible,we will see a product that I anticipated before the season began. The Buccaneers had one of the best defenses in the second half of 2016, thanks to being healthy and athletic.
That will help in week 6 against an Arizona team that also is dealing with injury issues. The Cardinals aren't a good team. Offensively, the team is old and without playmakers, while the defense isn't as good as what we have perceived them to be. Tampa Bay will be much better defensively and will do enough on offense to win by more than two points. — Go Chalk with Tampa Bay
New England Patriots (-10) at New York Jets
New England is going to get better. I keep saying that over and over again, and eventually it will come true.
Before the season, if you only had to give up 10 points in this game, you would have jumped all over it. New England's offense is still the best in the NFL and the defense will get better. They always do.
And while the Jets have overachieved this season, it's time to come crashing back to earth. New England has had plenty of rest and time to prepare for this one, so expect a solid running game to keep the ball away from New York's offense. — Go Chalk with New England
Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens (-7)
Baltimore is a better version of what the Bears want to be. Baltimore's defense is once again dominate, especially against the pass. And if the offense can be half of what it was in week 5, then this won't be close.
Chicago has stumbled in its two road games and this shouldn't be any different based on a short week. Baltimore is opportunistic in creating turnovers, so Mitchell Trubisky will have a difficult time moving the chains in this one.
Baltimore's stingy pass defense will be too much for Chicago to move the ball. — Go Chalk with Baltimore
Scott Levine is the Associate Editor for the Clinton Herald. During his free time, he blogs about fantasy sports and handicaps games. To see more, check out Against The Chalk.
Scott Levine can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org or on Twitter @ScottLevineCH