My favorites cooled off in week 14 with a 1-2 ATS week. I was 8-1 ATS in the three previous weeks, so I was due for a down week. And the week 14 favorites just didn't feel right, compared to previous weeks.
Week 15 offers a new shot. I feel good about these favorites, so check out the week 15 NFL picks featuring the three best favorites that will cover the spread. Week 15 NFL betting odds are provided by Topbet sportsbook.
Favorites: 18-23-1 ATS
Overall: 36-46-2 ATS
Arizona at Washington (-4.5)
If you've watched Washington play during the last three weeks, you're probably wondering why I'm so confident in the Redskins.
I'm wondering that same thing, but with the way Arizona plays in different time zones, I just can't back the Cardinals. Arizona is 1-4 in different time zones this season. All four of those losses were by 10 or more points.
That's not a new thing for Arizona either. It's been a consistent problem for the Cardinals in previous years, so I doubt that will change in December. And while the Redskins have looked bad in recent weeks, I'm still not completely selling the team overall. The offense has been way less productive in recent weeks, but that's likely due to a completely revamped offensive line.
Even though injuries have decimated that unit, it should have a little more consistency this week. Despite the troubles overall, the Redskins have actually been better on defense in recent weeks, giving up 4.9 yards per play, compared to their season average of 5.6 yards per play.
Arizona has a subpar offense and the defense isn't as good as it has been in the past. Kirk Cousins still has plenty to play for in this game, so trust the Redskins in this spot. -- Go Chalk with Washington
Philadelphia (-7.5) at New York Giants
I know Carson Wentz is really good, but I was pleasantly surprised when Topbet sportsbook listed the Eagles as just a little more than a touchdown favorite.
The Eagles are really good. Wentz is too, but his absence shouldn't be enough to bring this spread down to single digits. This game is a complete mismatch on paper and in person when forgetting about Wentz. The Eagles average a yard per play more than the Giants on offense, and give up a yard less per play on defense.
Some will throw out those statistics based on Wentz's injury. That would be a foolish play, since Nick Foles is more than a competent backup quarterback. We've already seen what Case Keenum has done this season as a backup quarterback. Foles has shown success in the past, and when he wasn't being coached by Jeff Fisher, he was more than just a body. He was a Pro Bowler.
The Giants are one of the worst teams in the NFL and the Eagles should still be considered one of the best teams in the NFC. This is a mismatch, even with Foles as the Eagles quarterback. -- Go Chalk with Philadelphia
New England (-3) at Pittsburgh
The Patriots have looked terrible in recent weeks. And it's not the defense having the issues. It's now the offense.
New England isn't stretching the ball down the field, freeing up defenses to keep that once potent offense in check. However, if I know New England like I think I do, that will be fixed sooner rather than later. And defensively, they've been far better in recent weeks, giving up just 4.4 yards per play in the last three games, far better than the season average of 5.9 yards per play.
The offense will get Rob Gronkowski back in the lineup and will square off against a Pittsburgh defense giving up a yard more per play in the last three games than their season average.
This game will be close for three quarters, but the Patriots win games like this. New England needs this win, so trust Tom Brady, who has been unstoppable against the Steelers. -- Go Chalk with New England
Scott Levine is the Associate Editor for the Clinton Herald. During his free time, he blogs about fantasy sports and handicaps games. Check out more at Against The Chalk.
Scott Levine can be reached at email@example.com or on Twitter @ScottLevineCH